Hypothetical Knowledge and Counterfactual Reasoning*

Abstract: Salmet introduced a notion of hypothetical knowledge and showed how it could be used to capture the type of counterfactual reasoning necessary to force the backwards induction solution in a game of perfect information. He argued that while hypothetical knowledge and the extended information structures used to model it bear some resemblance to the way philosophers have used conditional logic to model counterfactuals, hypothetical knowledge cannot be reduced to conditional logic together with epistemic logic. Here it is shown that in fact hypothetical knowledge can be captured using the standard counterfactual operator ">" and the knowledge operator "K", provided that some assumptions are made regarding the interaction between the two. It is argued, however, that these assumptions are unreasonable in general, as are the axioms that follow from them. Some
implications for game theory are discussed.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Mind the app - considerations on the ethical risks of COVID-19 apps

On the importance of being pedantic (series: notes to myself)

"Notes to myself" available on Amazon

On the value of taking care of the roses (series: notes to myself)

Between a rock and a hard place: Elon Musk's open letter and the Italian ban of Chat-GPT

The Loebner Prize from a judge's perspective

Pandemic lesson: the disappearance of externalities

(revised on Medium) On Kia and Pelé (series: notes to myself)

Call for expressions of interest: research position for a project on Digital Sovereignty and the Governance, Ethical, Legal, and Social Implications (GELSI) of digital innovation.

Onlife: Sulla morte di Corman McCarthy e "the best writers" della letteratura americana